an assault on Canada is very unpopular with US citizens and troops and all of the states that border Canada will refuse to turn into battlegrounds
That puts a lot of faith in the US population to (a) care, and (b) act on it.
I suspect any invasion would be structured as a rescue of some victimized population (Albertan separatists? Teens receiving gender affirming care? Anglos in Quebec?), and would yoink something of value (water? oil?) so it wouldn’t be a broad based invasion.
If any countries came to Canada’s aid with their own military force then it would get even uglier.
The US remains the world’s largest economy and biggest military spender.
I’m sure there would be a strongly worded proclamation from the UN General Assembly, and NATO would perform some mental gymnastics to avoid article 5.
That puts a lot of faith in the US population to (a) care, and (b) act on it.
Because, as of the time of writing this, the average US citizen hasn’t had their way of life impacted enough yet. Despite Trump taking a gigantic shit on the US, most people in the country are still living life relatively unimpeded at the moment.
That is not going to be the case if the US has an active conflict on its own soil. They will be forced to care when drone strikes and resistance attacks start occurring in their cities and towns, when martial law is declared, when food and material shortages begin, and so on. Right now one of the biggest things the US population has to worry about are tariffs. If war is declared on Canada then they will have to worry about tariffs, sanctions, and the loss of one of their largest agricultural and energy suppliers. The US gets nearly all of its potash from Canada.
On top of all that, the instability and distraction in the US would almost certainly embolden other groups that see opportunity, such as the Mexican cartels and the Chinese government. Like words cannot even begin to describe how much of a fustercluck it would be.
That puts a lot of faith in the US population to (a) care, and (b) act on it.
I suspect any invasion would be structured as a rescue of some victimized population (Albertan separatists? Teens receiving gender affirming care? Anglos in Quebec?), and would yoink something of value (water? oil?) so it wouldn’t be a broad based invasion.
The US remains the world’s largest economy and biggest military spender.
I’m sure there would be a strongly worded proclamation from the UN General Assembly, and NATO would perform some mental gymnastics to avoid article 5.
Because, as of the time of writing this, the average US citizen hasn’t had their way of life impacted enough yet. Despite Trump taking a gigantic shit on the US, most people in the country are still living life relatively unimpeded at the moment.
That is not going to be the case if the US has an active conflict on its own soil. They will be forced to care when drone strikes and resistance attacks start occurring in their cities and towns, when martial law is declared, when food and material shortages begin, and so on. Right now one of the biggest things the US population has to worry about are tariffs. If war is declared on Canada then they will have to worry about tariffs, sanctions, and the loss of one of their largest agricultural and energy suppliers. The US gets nearly all of its potash from Canada.
On top of all that, the instability and distraction in the US would almost certainly embolden other groups that see opportunity, such as the Mexican cartels and the Chinese government. Like words cannot even begin to describe how much of a fustercluck it would be.