So, ~ 102.3 million under 25 … multiply by about 1023 to go from per capita to actual…
~ 10,515 firearm caused mortalities in 2020 amongst under 25 yos
~ 8,501 motor vehicle caused mortalities in 2020 amongst under 25 yos
There ya go, thats some napkin math.
Overall total is ~19,106, but that is of course only for the top two causes, firearms + cars, leaves out everything else.
Also… they are in this graph doing an age based standardization of all death rates, so… that will throw off this kind of calc I’ve just done, I’d have to have the actual numbers and do actual math to account for that.
Under 25s in 2020 had 628 per Million deaths, so that works out to ~ 64,275 actual deaths.
Also I should clarify that for all this, its 1 to 24, not 25 and under, 1 and under is all classed as infant mortality and is its own thing, so my population proportions will be a bit off from that number not making that distinction…
Ah ok, page 15, 19,582 total infant deaths in 2020, so, take that out of 64,275 and you get ~ 44,693 1 - 24 yo deaths in 2020.
If we eyeball the % graph from my original comment, thats about 38% for those top causes of death combined, which is about ~15,192 for both if them, or if you say 16% is cars, thats about ~7159 and if you say 18% is firearms, thats about ~ 8045.
Also, since this is a yearly stat of 18.6/100k the chance of you dieing from either of those will be rolling those odds 24x or roughly 446.5/100k. Completely nuts since you have 1 in 224 being killed by guns or cars if the 2020 rates would go on from now until 2050 for 1 year olds today.
Absolutely. Thanks for spreading the word. I feel like not enough people know about it (or the real reasons for the shutdown, ugh.) I’m really worried about it. My family and I (disabled & unable to work) rely on them. I hope the shutdown crap gets figured out (in a decent way) and SNAP will be back soon, but I don’t know… I don’t know what I or countless other people will do. The food banks here are already overrun and can’t keep up - that’s before food stamps being cut off. 😬 I was already super struggling before this. I’m stressing!
I am also disabled… but, in a situation where… yeah I kept trying to qualify for SNAP, but uh… nope, I make too much money with SSDI, basically only because they count the part that’s deducted for Medicare, that I don’t ever see… as income.
If they didn’t do that, then I would have qualified for SNAP.
Yay.
But, what that means is I’ve figured out how to not die without SNAP… and… also because I am an econometrician by school and trade… welp, I’ve been slowly and quietly stockpiling a surplus of rice and beans and soup and such since the tariffs started happening…
I predicted a signifcant rise in food prices.
I did not predict SNAP being entirely turned off. Cut back a good deal, yes, but no, not just entirely fucking off.
I guess what I would say is that you and yours should probably do as much stockpiling of basic staples like that as you can, before the grocery stores become warzones.
And to do that as inconspicuously as possible, unless there is some local, tight knit mutual aid group you can join.
Oh right of course, yeah if SSDI gets turned off, welp, yeah, I’m dead in probably under 6 months.
Yes, correct, there were exactly 9000 fatalites from exactly 1000, Matrix Reloaded style, 75 mph+, sustained, firearm involved road rage incidents, that each killed 9 people via both gunshot and vehicluar collisions.
From the second, Scientific American link:
Thats per capita, per 100,000 people, so, not a percentage of all deaths per year… though this is counting ages 1 to 24, and goes only up to 2020.
So… assuming 2020 US population is 330 million, and there are… I dunno uh…
https://buckystats.org/one/US/years?data=perc-by-age-24
Apparently ~31% under 25 yo.
So, ~ 102.3 million under 25 … multiply by about 1023 to go from per capita to actual…
~ 10,515 firearm caused mortalities in 2020 amongst under 25 yos
~ 8,501 motor vehicle caused mortalities in 2020 amongst under 25 yos
There ya go, thats some napkin math.
Overall total is ~19,106, but that is of course only for the top two causes, firearms + cars, leaves out everything else.
Also… they are in this graph doing an age based standardization of all death rates, so… that will throw off this kind of calc I’ve just done, I’d have to have the actual numbers and do actual math to account for that.
From here:
https://buckystats.org/one/US/years?data=mort-perc-by-age-24
Under 25s in 2020 had 628 per Million deaths, so that works out to ~ 64,275 actual deaths.
Also I should clarify that for all this, its 1 to 24, not 25 and under, 1 and under is all classed as infant mortality and is its own thing, so my population proportions will be a bit off from that number not making that distinction…
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs//data/nvsr/nvsr72/nvsr72-10.pdf
Ah ok, page 15, 19,582 total infant deaths in 2020, so, take that out of 64,275 and you get ~ 44,693 1 - 24 yo deaths in 2020.
If we eyeball the % graph from my original comment, thats about 38% for those top causes of death combined, which is about ~15,192 for both if them, or if you say 16% is cars, thats about ~7159 and if you say 18% is firearms, thats about ~ 8045.
Also, since this is a yearly stat of 18.6/100k the chance of you dieing from either of those will be rolling those odds 24x or roughly 446.5/100k. Completely nuts since you have 1 in 224 being killed by guns or cars if the 2020 rates would go on from now until 2050 for 1 year olds today.
Assuming the rate stays constant, yeah, but … also yeah… looking at it over a larger time frame is also pretty discouraging.
My uh, mass mortality concern at the moment though is SNAP being cut off next month.
… we have maybe around 2 or 3 weeks before up to 42 million people begin to either starve or steal.
There is absolutely no way this will end well.
Absolutely. Thanks for spreading the word. I feel like not enough people know about it (or the real reasons for the shutdown, ugh.) I’m really worried about it. My family and I (disabled & unable to work) rely on them. I hope the shutdown crap gets figured out (in a decent way) and SNAP will be back soon, but I don’t know… I don’t know what I or countless other people will do. The food banks here are already overrun and can’t keep up - that’s before food stamps being cut off. 😬 I was already super struggling before this. I’m stressing!
I am also disabled… but, in a situation where… yeah I kept trying to qualify for SNAP, but uh… nope, I make too much money with SSDI, basically only because they count the part that’s deducted for Medicare, that I don’t ever see… as income.
If they didn’t do that, then I would have qualified for SNAP.
Yay.
But, what that means is I’ve figured out how to not die without SNAP… and… also because I am an econometrician by school and trade… welp, I’ve been slowly and quietly stockpiling a surplus of rice and beans and soup and such since the tariffs started happening…
I predicted a signifcant rise in food prices.
I did not predict SNAP being entirely turned off. Cut back a good deal, yes, but no, not just entirely fucking off.
I guess what I would say is that you and yours should probably do as much stockpiling of basic staples like that as you can, before the grocery stores become warzones.
And to do that as inconspicuously as possible, unless there is some local, tight knit mutual aid group you can join.
Oh right of course, yeah if SSDI gets turned off, welp, yeah, I’m dead in probably under 6 months.
So…as I see it, people were shooting at each other while driving in 2017.
Yes, correct, there were exactly 9000 fatalites from exactly 1000, Matrix Reloaded style, 75 mph+, sustained, firearm involved road rage incidents, that each killed 9 people via both gunshot and vehicluar collisions.
StonksStatoostiks