Three men survive a plane crash on a remote island and start thinking about how to escape. The first says, ‘I’m a carpenter, I’ll build us a boat.’ The second says, ‘I’m a fisherman, I’ll catch fish to feed us.’ The third says, ‘I’m an economist, let’s assume we have a ship.’
It’s has too long history but first usage of this when Ottoman empire collapsed in the Balkans many states were governed. Then, Yugoslavia dissolved by NATO through IMF and they ignited ethnic conflicts. As a result, they “created” 7 new countries which are Serbia, Montenegro, Kosovo, Croatia, Bosnia, North Macedonia and Slovenia.
So, If Nato would won this war They will use the same tactics like dissolving the Russia Federation creating new states like Chechenia, Dagestan